From 1831884786871b530265fe9023fda48b0d6db464 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: TheRON Date: Thu, 30 Apr 2026 05:13:35 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] Initial commit --- ...PUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md | 110 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 110 insertions(+) create mode 100644 docs/training/corpus/Layer_0--Primitive_Facts/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md diff --git a/docs/training/corpus/Layer_0--Primitive_Facts/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md b/docs/training/corpus/Layer_0--Primitive_Facts/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..03a4bb6 --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/training/corpus/Layer_0--Primitive_Facts/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md @@ -0,0 +1,110 @@ +# CORPUS-0008 +## Rumor Is Uncertain Information +### Status: Training Corpus Seed +### Layer: Layer_0--Primitive_Facts +### Purpose: Teach that rumor is incomplete information, not simply falsehood +### Repository Path: docs/training/corpus/Layer_0--Primitive_Facts/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information.md + +--- + +## 0. Principle + +Rumor is uncertain information. + +A rumor may be true, false, partial, outdated, exaggerated, or shaped by the interests of the speaker. + +A trader should not ask only whether a rumor is true. +He should ask what changes while people believe it. + +--- + +## 1. Roman-Visible Example + +A porter says a bronze forge has burned. + +This may mean: + +- the whole forge burned +- one shed burned +- smoke was seen nearby +- stock was moved before the fire +- a rival wants people to believe the forge is ruined +- the story is true but already stale + +The trader does not yet know the truth. + +But prices, fear, and behavior may begin moving before truth is confirmed. + +--- + +## 2. Minimal Rumor Structure + +A rumor has at least: + +1. a source +2. a claim +3. a confidence level +4. a path of transmission +5. a possible motive +6. a time delay +7. an effect on behavior + +Rumor is not only speech. +Rumor is speech that may change action. + +--- + +## 3. Incorrect Modern Assumption + +Incorrect assumption: + +> A rumor is useless unless it is confirmed true. + +Correction: + +> A rumor can be useful before confirmation if it changes prices, queues, trust, fear, or urgency. + +A false rumor may still create a real temporary market effect. + +--- + +## 4. Simulation Use + +This principle supports: + +- rumor quality +- source credibility +- uncertainty +- false opportunities +- early action +- delayed confirmation +- market reaction +- actor-specific interpretation + +The model should not treat rumor as either pure truth or pure noise. + +--- + +## 5. Canonical Test + +If the model sees: + +> There is a rumor that the forge burned. + +It must ask: + +- who said it? +- what exactly was claimed? +- who has seen evidence? +- who benefits if the rumor is believed? +- how old is the report? +- what prices may move before confirmation? +- what action becomes possible because others are uncertain? + +Only then can the rumor be evaluated. + +--- + +## 6. Success Condition + +If the model stops treating rumor as falsehood and starts treating rumor as uncertain information with economic effects, this file is functioning correctly.