From 865ea9d4e666c92c2e90792f66bc3ca31eb3c92f Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: TheRON Date: Thu, 30 Apr 2026 15:10:49 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] obsolete --- ...S-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md | 175 ------------------ 1 file changed, 175 deletions(-) delete mode 100644 docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md diff --git a/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md b/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md deleted file mode 100644 index 89a4736..0000000 --- a/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md +++ /dev/null @@ -1,175 +0,0 @@ -# CORPUS-0001 -## Oil From Ostia To Capua: Basic Venture -### Status: Training Corpus Seed -### Layer: Layer_1--Worked_Examples -### Purpose: Teach a first worked venture by combining place, local price, total cost, profit, delay, and risk -### Repository Path: docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0001-oil-ostia-to-capua-basic-venture.md - ---- - -## 0. Scenario - -A trader in Ostia considers sending oil to Capua. - -He has heard that oil sells for more in Capua than in Ostia. - -This is not enough to prove profit. - -The trader must compare local prices, total costs, delay, and risk before deciding. - ---- - -## 1. Known Facts - -| Fact | Value | -|---|---:| -| Origin | Ostia | -| Destination | Capua | -| Good | oil | -| Purchase price in Ostia | 10 asses | -| Expected sale price in Capua | 18 asses | -| Porterage and handling | 2 asses | -| Cart share | 3 asses | -| Storage before departure | 1 as | -| Handling at Capua | 1 as | - ---- - -## 2. First Incorrect Calculation - -A weak model may calculate: - -```text -18 - 10 = 8 asses profit -``` - -This is wrong because it subtracts only purchase price. - -It ignores movement, storage, and handling. - ---- - -## 3. Total Cost Calculation - -Total cost includes every cost required to make the oil available for sale in Capua. - -```text -purchase price: 10 asses -porterage and handling: 2 asses -cart share: 3 asses -storage: 1 as -Capua handling: 1 as --------------------------------- -total cost: 17 asses -``` - ---- - -## 4. Actual Profit Calculation - -```text -sale value - total cost = profit -18 asses - 17 asses = 1 as profit -``` - -The venture is profitable, but only barely. - -A one-as profit may not justify the risk unless the trader has no better option or expects future benefit. - ---- - -## 5. Unknowns - -The trader still does not know: - -- whether the Capua price is current -- whether a rival shipment will arrive first -- whether the cart leaves on time -- whether the oil leaks or breaks -- whether storage costs rise -- whether the buyer can pay -- whether the trader misses a better opportunity - -The arithmetic is only the beginning. - ---- - -## 6. Risk Variants - -### Variant A — Delay - -If the cart is delayed and storage rises by 2 asses: - -```text -new total cost = 19 asses -sale value = 18 asses -result = 1 as loss -``` - -### Variant B — Rival Arrival - -If a rival arrives first and Capua buyers lower offers to 15 asses: - -```text -sale value = 15 asses -total cost = 17 asses -result = 2 asses loss -``` - -### Variant C — Better Sale Price - -If demand rises and the oil sells for 22 asses: - -```text -sale value = 22 asses -total cost = 17 asses -result = 5 asses profit -``` - ---- - -## 7. Correct Model Behavior - -The model should reason: - -- trade requires Ostia and Capua -- the two cities may have different local prices -- purchase price is not total cost -- profit is sale value minus total cost -- delay can erase profit -- rival action can change destination price -- expected profit is not actual profit until settlement - ---- - -## 8. Incorrect Model Behavior - -The model should not: - -- assume one universal oil price -- calculate profit from purchase price alone -- ignore cart, porterage, storage, or handling -- treat the expected Capua price as certain -- assume the opportunity remains open indefinitely -- ignore rival traders -- treat a barely profitable venture as safe - ---- - -## 9. Layer-0 Concepts Used - -This example uses: - -- `CORPUS-0001-trade-requires-two-locations` -- `CORPUS-0002-goods-have-local-prices` -- `CORPUS-0004-cost-includes-more-than-purchase-price` -- `CORPUS-0005-profit-is-sale-minus-total-cost` -- `CORPUS-0006-delay-is-economic-cost` -- `CORPUS-0012-every-venture-risks-loss` -- `CORPUS-0018-rivalry-changes-conditions` - ---- - -## 10. Success Condition - -If the model sees a simple trade and automatically asks about location, total cost, timing, and risk before declaring profit, this file is functioning correctly.