From 8d37d85c6eebde0755f3a4fa9a2ef3b7598f5b05 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: TheRON Date: Thu, 30 Apr 2026 15:11:28 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] obsolete --- .../CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md | 174 ------------------ 1 file changed, 174 deletions(-) delete mode 100644 docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md diff --git a/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md b/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md deleted file mode 100644 index f2be542..0000000 --- a/docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md +++ /dev/null @@ -1,174 +0,0 @@ -# CORPUS-0007 -## Rival Buys The Cart Space -### Status: Training Corpus Seed -### Layer: Layer_1--Worked_Examples -### Purpose: Teach that a rival can change the cost, timing, or viability of a venture before the trader acts -### Repository Path: docs/training/corpus/Layer_1--Worked_Examples/CORPUS-0007-rival-buys-the-cart-space.md - ---- - -## 0. Scenario - -A trader in Ostia plans to send oil to Capua. - -The expected margin is modest but workable. - -Before he reserves transport, a rival trader buys the best available cart space. - -The oil price in Capua may still be favorable, but the conditions of the venture have changed. - -The opportunity did not disappear because the market changed first. - -It changed because another actor acted first. - ---- - -## 1. Known Initial Facts - -| Fact | Value | -|---|---:| -| Origin | Ostia | -| Destination | Capua | -| Good | oil | -| Purchase price in Ostia | 10 asses | -| Expected sale price in Capua | 20 asses | -| Expected cart share | 4 asses | -| Other expected costs | 3 asses | - -Initial expected total cost: - -```text -10 + 4 + 3 = 17 asses -``` - -Initial expected result: - -```text -20 - 17 = 3 asses profit -``` - -The venture appears worthwhile. - ---- - -## 2. Rival Action - -A rival trader reserves the best cart space before the trader acts. - -The remaining options are worse: - -| Transport Option | New Cost | Effect | -|---|---:|---| -| later cart | 4 asses | two-day delay | -| inferior cart | 5 asses | higher breakage risk | -| private hire | 8 asses | immediate but expensive | - -The same oil no longer has the same venture conditions. - ---- - -## 3. Variant A — Later Cart - -The trader waits two days for the later cart. - -Storage cost increases by 2 asses. - -A rival may reach Capua first. - -```text -purchase price: 10 asses -cart share: 4 asses -other costs: 3 asses -added storage: 2 asses -------------------------------- -total cost: 19 asses -sale value: 20 asses -result: 1 as profit -``` - -The venture still profits, but margin has narrowed. - ---- - -## 4. Variant B — Inferior Cart - -The trader uses the inferior cart. - -Transport cost rises and one small loss occurs during movement. - -```text -purchase price: 10 asses -inferior cart: 5 asses -other costs: 3 asses -loss adjustment: 2 asses -------------------------------- -total cost: 20 asses -sale value: 20 asses -result: 0 profit -``` - -The venture breaks even. - ---- - -## 5. Variant C — Private Hire - -The trader hires private transport immediately. - -```text -purchase price: 10 asses -private hire: 8 asses -other costs: 3 asses -------------------------------- -total cost: 21 asses -sale value: 20 asses -result: 1 as loss -``` - -The fastest option produces a loss unless speed creates other strategic value. - ---- - -## 6. Correct Model Behavior - -The model should reason: - -- the opportunity was not static -- rival action changed available transport -- changed transport altered cost, delay, and risk -- the same purchase and sale prices can produce different outcomes -- acting later can narrow or erase margin -- rivalry can create loss without direct conflict - ---- - -## 7. Incorrect Model Behavior - -The model should not: - -- assume cart space remains available -- treat transport cost as fixed after the first estimate -- ignore rival timing -- assume the trader can always choose the best option -- treat the expected 3-ass profit as guaranteed -- ignore delay caused by unavailable transport - ---- - -## 8. Layer-0 Concepts Used - -This example uses: - -- `CORPUS-0001-trade-requires-two-locations` -- `CORPUS-0004-cost-includes-more-than-purchase-price` -- `CORPUS-0005-profit-is-sale-minus-total-cost` -- `CORPUS-0006-delay-is-economic-cost` -- `CORPUS-0012-every-venture-risks-loss` -- `CORPUS-0018-rivalry-changes-conditions` -- `CORPUS-0019-success-has-no-boundary-failure-has-a-hard-stop` - ---- - -## 9. Success Condition - -If the model sees a profitable venture and asks whether rivals can change transport, timing, or margin before the trader acts, this file is functioning correctly.