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-# CORPUS-0003
-## Visible Signal Versus Spoken Claim
-### Status: Training Corpus Seed
-### Layer: Layer_2--Uncertainty
-### Purpose: Teach that observed signals and spoken claims are different evidence types, and that each must be evaluated by source, timing, and interpretation
-### Repository Path: docs/training/corpus/Layer_2--Uncertainty/CORPUS-0003-visible-signal-vs-spoken-claim.md
-
----
-
-## 0. Scenario
-
-A trader in Ostia hears that a warehouse has run out of oil.
-
-At the same time, he sees carts leaving the warehouse loaded and sealed.
-
-The spoken claim and the visible signal do not match cleanly.
-
-The trader must decide whether the claim, the visible signal, or some third explanation is most useful.
-
----
-
-## 1. Evidence Received
-
-### Spoken Claim
-
-A porter says:
-
-> The warehouse is empty of oil.
-
-### Visible Signal
-
-The trader sees:
-
-- three carts leaving the warehouse
-- sealed jars loaded under guard
-- the warehouse doors partly closed
-- clerks arguing near the entrance
-
-The claim says shortage.
-
-The signal may suggest movement, concealment, restricted access, prior sale, inspection, or reserved stock.
-
----
-
-## 2. Known Facts
-
-| Fact | Value |
-|---|---|
-| Location | Ostia |
-| Good | oil |
-| Spoken claim | warehouse empty |
-| Visible signal | carts leaving with sealed jars |
-| Source of claim | porter |
-| True warehouse state | unknown |
-| Destination of carts | unknown |
-| Ownership of loaded goods | unknown |
-
----
-
-## 3. Why Signals Matter
-
-Visible signals may be stronger than casual speech, but they are not self-explaining.
-
-A cart leaving a warehouse may mean:
-
-- goods are available
-- goods are already sold
-- goods are being hidden
-- goods are being moved under contract
-- goods are being removed after inspection
-- goods are being transferred to another owner
-- goods are not oil at all
-
-Observation reduces uncertainty only when interpreted carefully.
-
----
-
-## 4. Why Speech Still Matters
-
-A spoken claim may be wrong, but it may contain context the eye cannot see.
-
-The porter may know:
-
-- which jars were oil
-- who ordered the movement
-- whether the remaining stock is spoken for
-- whether the warehouse is closed to ordinary buyers
-- whether the carts are moving damaged goods
-- whether the clerk is lying
-
-Speech can explain a signal.
-
-But speech may also distort it.
-
----
-
-## 5. Incorrect Model Behavior
-
-The model should not:
-
-- treat visible evidence as automatically complete
-- treat spoken claims as automatically false
-- ignore who made the claim
-- ignore what the visible signal actually proves
-- assume carts leaving means stock is available
-- assume a warehouse is empty because one porter said so
-- collapse observation and interpretation into one fact
-
----
-
-## 6. Correct Model Behavior
-
-The model should separate:
-
-| Category | Meaning |
-|---|---|
-| observed signal | what was directly seen |
-| spoken claim | what someone said |
-| inferred meaning | what the actor thinks it means |
-| confidence level | how reliable the interpretation is |
-| missing fact | what remains unknown |
-
-Example:
-
-```text
-observed_signal: three sealed carts left warehouse
-spoken_claim: warehouse empty of oil
-inference_options: sold_out | reserved_stock | hidden_transfer | false_claim
-confidence: unresolved
-```
-
----
-
-## 7. Decision Example
-
-The trader must decide whether to act.
-
-Possible actions:
-
-- ask a second source
-- follow the carts
-- ask who owns the jars
-- check another warehouse price
-- delay purchase until confirmed
-- buy remaining oil elsewhere before others react
-- avoid acting until the signal is clearer
-
-The visible signal matters because it may reveal action before official explanation.
-
-The spoken claim matters because it may reveal interpretation before visible proof.
-
----
-
-## 8. Layer-0 And Layer-1 Concepts Used
-
-This example uses:
-
-- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0007-information-arrives-unevenly`
-- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0008-rumor-is-uncertain-information`
-- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0012-every-venture-risks-loss`
-- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0020-posture-changes-by-audience`
-- `Layer_1/CORPUS-0005-rumor-before-confirmed-price`
-- `Layer_2/CORPUS-0002-conflicting-reports`
-
----
-
-## 9. Success Condition
-
-If the model can distinguish what was directly observed from what was claimed, and can avoid treating either as complete truth without interpretation, this file is functioning correctly.