obsolete
This commit is contained in:
@@ -1,195 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# CORPUS-0011
|
|
||||||
## Quality Uncertainty
|
|
||||||
### Status: Training Corpus Seed
|
|
||||||
### Layer: Layer_2--Uncertainty
|
|
||||||
### Purpose: Teach that a reported good may exist, but its quality, condition, suitability, or usable quantity may remain uncertain until inspected or used
|
|
||||||
### Repository Path: docs/training/corpus/Layer_2--Uncertainty/CORPUS-0011-quality-uncertainty.md
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 0. Scenario
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
A trader in Ostia hears that timber is available for sale.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The report is true.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The timber exists.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
But the trader does not yet know whether the timber is dry, straight, strong, damaged, green, warped, or suitable for the intended buyer in Capua.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The uncertainty is not whether the good exists.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The uncertainty is whether the good can serve the intended use.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 1. Report Received
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
A seller says:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
> I have timber ready for shipment.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
This statement may be true.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
But it does not answer:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
- what kind of timber?
|
|
||||||
- how dry is it?
|
|
||||||
- how straight is it?
|
|
||||||
- what length and thickness?
|
|
||||||
- was it stored well?
|
|
||||||
- does it fit the buyer's need?
|
|
||||||
- how much is actually usable?
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Existence is not quality.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2. Known Facts
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
| Fact | Value |
|
|
||||||
|---|---|
|
|
||||||
| Location | Ostia |
|
|
||||||
| Good | timber |
|
|
||||||
| Reported availability | yes |
|
|
||||||
| Intended destination | Capua |
|
|
||||||
| Intended use | cart repair stock |
|
|
||||||
| Timber quality | unknown |
|
|
||||||
| Usable quantity | unknown |
|
|
||||||
| Inspection status | not inspected |
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The trader knows that timber exists.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
He does not yet know whether it is the right timber.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 3. Why Quality Matters
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Quality changes value.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Timber that is dry and straight may be useful for cart repair.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Timber that is green, warped, or split may be worth less.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The same reported quantity can produce different outcomes:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
| True Quality | Effect |
|
|
||||||
|---|---|
|
|
||||||
| dry and straight | suitable for higher-value use |
|
|
||||||
| green | may require waiting or sell lower |
|
|
||||||
| warped | may not fit repair demand |
|
|
||||||
| partially damaged | usable quantity lower than claimed |
|
|
||||||
| mixed stock | sorting cost required |
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
A good's name does not define its usable value.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 4. Arithmetic Variants
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
### Variant A — Suitable Timber
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
```text
|
|
||||||
sale value = 48 asses
|
|
||||||
total cost = 40 asses
|
|
||||||
result = 8 asses profit
|
|
||||||
```
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
### Variant B — Mixed Quality
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Only part of the timber fits the repair use.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
```text
|
|
||||||
sale value = 42 asses
|
|
||||||
total cost = 40 asses
|
|
||||||
result = 2 asses profit
|
|
||||||
```
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
### Variant C — Unsuitable Timber
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The timber sells only for ordinary use.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
```text
|
|
||||||
sale value = 34 asses
|
|
||||||
total cost = 40 asses
|
|
||||||
result = 6 asses loss
|
|
||||||
```
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The report was true in all three variants.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The quality changed the outcome.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 5. Correct Model Behavior
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The model should separate:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
| Category | Meaning |
|
|
||||||
|---|---|
|
|
||||||
| good_exists | whether the good is present |
|
|
||||||
| stated_quality | what seller claims |
|
|
||||||
| inspected_quality | what buyer or agent verifies |
|
|
||||||
| intended_use | what the buyer wants it for |
|
|
||||||
| suitability | whether quality fits intended use |
|
|
||||||
| usable_quantity | amount that can actually serve the use |
|
|
||||||
| quality_discount | value reduction from defects or mismatch |
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The model should not assume a reported good is suitable merely because it exists.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 6. Incorrect Model Behavior
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The model should not:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
- treat all timber as identical
|
|
||||||
- assume seller claim equals true quality
|
|
||||||
- ignore storage condition
|
|
||||||
- ignore intended use
|
|
||||||
- ignore sorting cost
|
|
||||||
- ignore unusable portion
|
|
||||||
- calculate profit before suitability is known
|
|
||||||
- treat quality uncertainty as the same as price uncertainty
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Price may be known while quality remains uncertain.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Quality may be known while price remains uncertain.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 7. Decision Options
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The trader may:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
- inspect the timber personally
|
|
||||||
- send a trusted carpenter
|
|
||||||
- demand lower price for uncertainty
|
|
||||||
- buy only after sorting
|
|
||||||
- buy a smaller quantity
|
|
||||||
- accept risk for a better price
|
|
||||||
- reject the cargo if suitability matters too much
|
|
||||||
- redirect unsuitable timber to a lower-value use
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Quality uncertainty can be managed, but not ignored.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 8. Layer-0 And Layer-1 Concepts Used
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
This example uses:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0004-cost-includes-more-than-purchase-price`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0012-every-venture-risks-loss`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_0/CORPUS-0015-materials-can-change-value-through-use`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_1/CORPUS-0008-material-redirection-timber`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_2/CORPUS-0003-visible-signal-vs-spoken-claim`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_2/CORPUS-0005-hidden-true-state-vs-known-state`
|
|
||||||
- `Layer_2/CORPUS-0006-confirmation-has-a-cost`
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
---
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 9. Success Condition
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
If the model sees that a good exists and still asks whether its quality, condition, usable quantity, and suitability match the intended use, this file is functioning correctly.
|
|
||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user